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Red131
128525.7
790222.2
124143.1
Blue67
958016.9
130517.5
497625.4
91%Model gave it9%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1046105015013167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+26Teleop
+36Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points32
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
18Processor points6
12Net points16
30Algae points22
69Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
28Foul points0
131Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.11.0
42.543.5
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
red by 17.7
4976
#18
25.40.6
22.823.5
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
25.71.0
25.426.4
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
red by 8.1
1305
#22
17.50.7
20.621.3
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
Third
7902
#20
22.21.0
21.322.3
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
red by 5.3
9580
#16
16.90.6
13.814.4
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed