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Red82
415247.3
49519.8
132518.8
Blue122
540960.7
122922.5
1001515.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8095406012014082122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
13Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +21
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
63Total teleop84
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
2Foul points8
82Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.4
45.646.0
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
blue by 13.4
60.72.5
51.654.2
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
Second
1325
#27
18.80.4
17.818.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 3.7
22.52.5
21.123.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
4951
#26
9.80.4
12.012.4
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
blue by 5.8
15.62.5
12.715.2
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed