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Red114
494667.2
878911.2
611021.9
Blue47
588512.8
639713.4
748030.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1055202040608012014016011447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+55Teleop
+65Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
68Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
2Foul points0
114Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.21.9
58.960.8
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 36.8
30.40.7
26.926.2
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Second
6110
#15
21.91.9
23.925.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
red by 8.5
6397
#28
13.40.7
15.014.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Third
8789
#23
11.21.9
7.99.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.1
End2.3
blue by 1.7
5885
#24
12.80.7
13.512.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed