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Red126
926314.9
447653.6
909837.8
Blue89
124143.1
128525.7
834916.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149140608010014016018012689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
70Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
12Foul points6
126Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.61.0
51.652.7
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
red by 10.6
43.10.2
43.543.3
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
Second
37.81.0
37.438.4
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
red by 12.1
25.70.2
26.426.2
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Third
9263
#11
14.91.0
13.514.5
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
blue by 1.2
8349
#10
16.10.2
15.615.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed