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Red64
720023.4
132518.8
588512.8
Blue115
957516.7
497625.4
540960.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54102020408012014016064115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+49
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
47Total teleop80
Reef
3L4#11
2L3#5
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
6Foul points8
64Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#14
23.40.3
23.724.0
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 37.2
60.71.4
54.255.5
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
Second
1325
#27
18.80.3
18.318.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 6.6
4976
#18
25.41.4
23.524.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Third
5885
#24
12.80.3
12.813.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
blue by 3.9
9575
#12
16.71.5
12.514.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed