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Red65
909837.8
130517.5
611021.9
Blue28
49519.8
639713.4
122922.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97480204060801201401606528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+25Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#3
19Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
33Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points2
65Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.81.8
38.436.5
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
red by 15.3
22.52.0
23.621.6
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Second
6110
#15
21.91.8
25.823.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
red by 8.5
6397
#28
13.42.0
14.212.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.5
End1.5
Third
1305
#22
17.51.8
21.419.5
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
red by 7.7
4951
#26
9.82.0
12.410.5
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed