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Red69
926314.9
238619.2
834916.1
Blue56
720023.4
128525.7
468814.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions528002040601001201401606956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
44Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
69Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#21
19.20.5
18.118.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2
blue by 6.5
25.72.4
26.223.8
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Second
8349
#10
16.10.5
15.415.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
blue by 7.3
7200
#14
23.42.4
24.021.6
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
Third
9263
#11
14.90.5
14.515.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
red by 0.4
4688
#29
14.52.4
17.715.4
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed