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Red109
128525.7
748030.4
720023.4
Blue45
468814.5
49519.8
1001515.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9041020608010012014010945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+74Teleop
+70Endgame
+64Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +74
20Coral scored#6
72Coral points22
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
100Total teleop26
Reef
7L4#2
7L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points6
109Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.41.6
27.929.6
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
red by 14.8
15.60.8
12.611.7
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
Second
25.71.6
23.825.4
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
red by 11.1
4688
#29
14.50.8
15.414.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.2
Third
7200
#14
23.41.6
21.623.2
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
red by 13.6
4951
#26
9.80.8
10.59.6
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed