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Red63
373925.1
132518.8
834916.1
Blue49
926314.9
790222.2
698710.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions715502040801001206349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+16Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#4
42Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
52Total teleop24
Reef
6L4#1
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points2
63Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#17
25.10.1
24.124.2
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
red by 2.9
7902
#20
22.20.3
22.422.1
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
1325
#27
18.80.1
18.518.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
red by 3.9
9263
#11
14.90.3
15.014.7
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
Third
8349
#10
16.10.1
15.916.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
red by 5.7
6987
#25
10.50.3
10.810.5
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned