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Red40
122922.5
958016.9
956919.9
Blue81
415247.3
834916.1
588512.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53900204060801001201404081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+27
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
30Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
2Foul points2
40Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.3
12.411.1
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
blue by 24.8
47.30.4
28.729.1
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
Second
9569
#19
19.91.3
19.318.1
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 3.7
8349
#10
16.10.4
20.220.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
9580
#16
16.91.3
17.616.4
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 4.1
5885
#24
12.80.4
26.326.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned