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Red86
956919.9
373925.1
748030.4
Blue63
238619.2
122922.5
497625.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82740501001502008663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+33Teleop
+27Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +32
12Coral scored#9
43Coral points31
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
12Processor points0
16Net points8
28Algae points8
71Total teleop39
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +23
2Foul points6
86Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.2
29.629.8
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
red by 5.1
4976
#18
25.40.3
26.125.8
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
3739
#17
25.10.2
24.224.5
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
red by 2.5
22.50.3
23.223.0
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
9569
#19
19.90.2
19.019.3
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 0.7
2386
#21
19.20.3
19.919.6
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2