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Red142
415247.3
958016.9
447653.6
Blue79
790222.2
132518.8
834916.1
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13554010015020014279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave6
7Coral scored#0
34Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
19Coral scored#9
67Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
85Total teleop55
Reef
10L4#3
6L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points2
142Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.4
52.552.9
Auto18.7
Teleop33.2
End1.7
red by 31.4
7902
#20
22.20.4
22.122.5
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
Second
47.30.4
46.246.6
Auto11.1
Teleop30.4
End5.8
red by 28.5
1325
#27
18.80.4
18.719.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
Third
9580
#16
16.90.4
15.816.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 0.8
8349
#10
16.10.4
16.016.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8