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Red109
909837.8
588512.8
124143.1
Blue39
128525.7
130517.5
49519.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1095202040608010012014016010939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+50Teleop
+62Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
16Coral scored#5
59Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
79Total teleop23
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +70
8Foul points0
109Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.1
43.443.6
Auto9.5
Teleop30.6
End3.0
red by 17.4
25.70.3
25.425.1
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Second
37.80.1
38.138.3
Auto7.5
Teleop21.7
End8.6
red by 20.3
1305
#22
17.50.3
17.317.0
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
Third
5885
#24
12.80.1
13.213.3
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End1.8
red by 3.0
4951
#26
9.80.3
9.69.3
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9