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Red61
720023.4
926314.9
611021.9
Blue55
238619.2
122922.5
497625.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6778020401001201401606155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+12Endgame
+6Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#7
38Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
52Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points6
61Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7200
#14
23.40.1
23.523.5
Auto2.6
Teleop19.7
End1.1
blue by 1.9
4976
#18
25.40.4
25.825.4
Auto6.6
Teleop17.5
End1.3
Second
6110
#15
21.90.1
22.022.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.6
End0.8
blue by 0.6
22.50.4
23.022.5
Auto4.4
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
9263
#11
14.90.1
15.015.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.0
blue by 4.3
2386
#21
19.20.4
19.619.2
Auto3.0
Teleop14.0
End2.2