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Red55
790222.2
132518.8
834916.1
Blue90
128525.7
130517.5
49519.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68632040801005590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
40Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points8
55Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7902
#20
22.20.2
22.522.2
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End4.8
blue by 3.4
25.70.6
25.125.8
Auto4.5
Teleop20.2
End1.0
Second
1325
#27
18.80.2
19.018.8
Auto3.4
Teleop13.3
End2.1
red by 1.3
1305
#22
17.50.6
17.017.6
Auto2.5
Teleop13.5
End1.5
Third
8349
#10
16.10.2
16.416.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
red by 6.3
4951
#26
9.80.6
9.39.9
Auto0.7
Teleop8.2
End0.9