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Red161
494667.2
1001515.6
540960.7
Blue91
956919.9
373925.1
748030.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1516905010020025016191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+64Teleop
+78Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave9
9Coral scored#0
44Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +29
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
101Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#3
8L3#5
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points8
161Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.20.6
64.364.9
Auto16.1
Teleop43.1
End8.0
red by 36.8
30.40.2
29.830.0
Auto4.9
Teleop24.2
End1.3
Second
60.70.6
57.858.3
Auto12.4
Teleop44.8
End3.5
red by 35.6
3739
#17
25.10.2
24.524.7
Auto3.9
Teleop21.3
End-0.1
Third
15.60.6
12.713.3
Auto7.0
Teleop6.3
End2.3
blue by 4.3
9569
#19
19.90.2
19.319.5
Auto1.5
Teleop15.9
End2.5