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Red203
540982.6
415261.8
375622.6
Blue172
494676.5
61059.0
698719.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178164120140200220240203172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+21Teleop
+33Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
43Coral points28
43Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#29
84Coral points104
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
30Processor points6
24Net points16
54Algae points22
138Total teleop126
Reef
9L4#11
12L3#12
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#7
43Game pieces#40
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +31
6Foul points8
203Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.8
81.482.1
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
red by 6.1
76.50.3
75.876.1
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
Second
61.80.8
60.561.3
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 2.9
610
#1
59.00.3
58.358.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
Third
3756
#26
22.60.8
21.322.0
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
red by 3.4
6987
#19
19.20.3
18.518.8
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1