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Red185
494676.5
61059.0
698719.2
Blue147
293552.9
873116.5
86549.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166118100150200250185147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
11Coral scored#6
55Coral points28
58Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#17
69Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
103Total teleop84
Reef
14L4#10
9L3#4
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
185Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.8
75.175.8
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 23.6
52.90.6
52.352.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
Second
610
#1
59.00.8
57.558.3
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
red by 9.1
865
#7
49.80.6
49.249.8
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
Third
6987
#19
19.20.8
17.818.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 2.7
8731
#22
16.50.6
15.916.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1