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Red133
293552.9
873116.5
86549.8
Blue81
406941.2
131040.3
1046411.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291005015020013381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+24Teleop
+46Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
6Leave6
8Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
57Total teleop71
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points0
133Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.2
52.152.3
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 11.7
41.20.3
41.541.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
Second
865
#7
49.80.2
49.049.2
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
red by 9.5
40.30.3
40.640.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Third
8731
#22
16.50.2
15.715.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 4.6
11.90.3
12.211.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1