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Red81
958912.1
686531.6
747640.7
Blue62
775718.2
77115.6
24438.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5776020401001208162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
6Processor points0
12Net points16
18Algae points16
68Total teleop42
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
81Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7476
#11
40.72.0
25.127.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
red by 2.3
244
#15
38.40.2
33.233.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
Second
6865
#14
31.63.3
18.822.1
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
red by 13.4
7757
#31
18.20.2
21.321.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Third
9589
#29
12.12.0
5.07.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 3.5
771
#30
15.60.2
7.47.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned