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Qual 112025 ONT District North Bay Event
Red123
131040.3
685921.2
494676.5
Blue131
270627.5
415261.8
912729.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210650150200123131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +9
19Coral scored#18
67Coral points64
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
91Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
123Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4946
#4
76.50.8
66.1→66.9
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 14.7
4152
#3
61.82.0
45.5→47.6
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
Second
1310
#9
40.30.8
26.8→27.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
red by 11.1
9127
#12
29.32.0
24.3→26.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
Third
6859
#8
21.20.8
17.7→18.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
blue by 6.2
2706
#28
27.52.0
30.5→32.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned