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Red142
61059.0
293552.9
86549.8
Blue80
201311.6
21622.1
808128.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1416305010015020014280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+70Teleop
+68Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
0Leave3
10Coral scored#1
51Coral points6
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
16Coral scored#10
57Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
77Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#4
8L3#3
6L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points6
142Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
59.01.0
50.651.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
red by 31.0
8081
#16
28.00.8
24.124.9
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Second
52.91.0
42.143.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 30.8
216
#21
22.10.5
19.920.4
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Third
865
#7
49.81.0
34.535.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
red by 38.2
2013
#32
11.60.8
22.423.3
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned