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Red43
872927.0
686415.8
685921.2
Blue41
958912.1
77115.6
1046411.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7420040601001201404341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+6Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
19Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points6
43Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#23
27.02.0
27.625.6
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End1.1
red by 11.4
771
#30
15.60.0
7.27.2
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Second
21.22.0
18.616.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
red by 9.2
9589
#29
12.10.0
7.07.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Third
6864
#24
15.82.0
15.913.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 3.8
11.90.0
8.78.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed