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Red76
375622.6
698719.2
270627.5
Blue142
873116.5
415261.8
747640.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510505015076142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+66
Endgame+68
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points33
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +46
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
1Processor algae#4
1Net algae#4
6Processor points24
4Net points16
10Algae points40
57Total teleop103
Reef
5L4#9
5L3#5
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
2Foul points0
76Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#28
27.50.3
32.532.2
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
blue by 34.4
61.82.4
47.650.0
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
Second
3756
#26
22.60.5
18.017.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 18.2
7476
#11
40.72.4
27.129.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Third
6987
#19
19.20.3
11.010.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 2.7
8731
#22
16.52.4
14.516.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed