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Red98
24438.4
270828.9
406941.2
Blue101
131040.3
775718.2
130526.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977105015020098101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+11
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#10
31Coral points35
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
61Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
98Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.6
29.330.0
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
red by 0.9
40.32.3
27.629.9
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Second
244
#15
38.40.6
33.033.6
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
red by 11.7
1305
#10
26.82.3
17.920.2
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
Third
2708
#17
28.90.6
24.224.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
red by 10.7
7757
#31
18.22.3
21.223.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed