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Red177
130526.8
747640.7
540982.6
Blue125
872927.0
131040.3
873116.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1337250100150200177125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+60Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points17
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +32
25Coral scored#16
90Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
114Total teleop82
Reef
12L4#8
13L3#4
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
6Foul points14
177Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.63.1
63.266.4
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
red by 42.3
40.31.8
29.931.7
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Second
7476
#11
40.73.1
29.532.7
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
red by 13.8
8729
#23
27.01.8
25.627.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Third
1305
#10
26.83.1
20.223.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
red by 10.3
8731
#22
16.51.8
16.918.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed