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Red128
775718.2
415261.8
494676.5
Blue45
133419.8
77115.6
686531.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16745010015020025012845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+95Teleop
+95Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
9Leave0
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +60
13Coral scored#3
46Coral points12
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
18Processor points0
8Net points0
26Algae points0
72Total teleop12
Reef
9L4#2
3L3#1
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
6Foul points18
128Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.51.2
66.965.7
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 44.9
6865
#14
31.62.9
23.020.1
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Second
61.81.2
50.048.8
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 42.0
1334
#27
19.82.9
23.020.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
Third
7757
#31
18.21.2
23.422.2
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 2.6
771
#30
15.61.7
7.25.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned