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Red116
747640.7
24438.4
354326.8
Blue63
270828.9
808128.0
201311.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9978406012014016011663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+41Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +51
19Coral scored#8
67Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
91Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
116Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7476
#11
40.72.0
32.734.7
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
red by 11.8
2708
#17
28.90.6
24.824.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
Second
244
#15
38.42.0
33.635.6
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
red by 10.5
8081
#16
28.00.9
26.525.6
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Third
3543
#18
26.82.0
19.721.7
Auto1.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
red by 15.2
2013
#32
11.60.9
20.119.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed