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Qual 232025 ONT District North Bay Event
Red43
86549.8
133419.8
686415.8
Blue102
28836.8
130526.8
270627.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions739740608012014016043102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+67
Endgame+57
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points26
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +50
3Coral scored#14
12Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
20Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#8
1L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points2
43Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
49.81.8
37.9→36.1
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
red by 13.1
288
#13
36.81.0
32.5→33.4
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Second
1334
#27
19.83.0
20.1→17.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
blue by 7.7
2706
#28
27.51.0
29.9→30.8
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Third
6864
#24
15.81.8
12.0→10.2
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 11.0
1305
#10
26.81.0
23.3→24.2
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed