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Red114
747640.7
270627.5
270828.9
Blue151
415261.8
28836.8
406941.2
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96133406080120160180200114151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+23
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +28
9Leave3
1Coral scored#8
7Coral points41
16Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +5
14Coral scored#17
50Coral points61
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
24Processor points12
20Net points16
44Algae points28
94Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#6
24Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +14
4Cage & park18
4Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
114Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7476
#11
40.70.9
34.735.6
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
blue by 21.1
61.81.5
50.552.0
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
Second
2708
#17
28.90.9
23.224.1
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
blue by 12.4
41.21.5
33.134.7
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
Third
2706
#28
27.50.9
30.831.8
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
blue by 9.3
288
#13
36.81.5
33.434.9
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned