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Red106
130526.8
912729.3
77115.6
Blue201
494676.5
540982.6
959219.5
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561830100150200250106201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+89
Endgame+101
Fouls+95
AutonomousBlue +42
0Leave0
5Coral scored#13
23Coral points65
23Total auto65
TeleoperatedBlue +47
16Coral scored#22
59Coral points80
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#4
6Processor points24
8Net points16
14Algae points40
73Total teleop120
Reef
9L4#12
6L3#10
2L2#8
4L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +95
6Foul points0
106Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9127
#12
29.32.7
28.831.4
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
blue by 53.4
82.63.3
66.970.1
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
Second
1305
#10
26.82.7
24.226.9
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
blue by 49.7
76.53.3
67.670.9
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
Third
771
#30
15.62.7
7.19.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 3.9
9592
#25
19.53.3
17.120.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed47%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned