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Red108
375622.6
293552.9
685921.2
Blue76
201311.6
24438.4
131040.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions929760708011012013014010876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#11
37Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
57Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points0
108Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.5
45.546.0
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 12.6
40.31.2
32.231.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
Second
3756
#26
22.60.8
17.418.2
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 15.9
244
#15
38.41.2
37.135.9
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
Third
21.20.5
20.320.8
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
red by 9.6
2013
#32
11.62.1
19.217.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned