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Red91
293552.9
201311.6
415261.8
Blue24
686415.8
958912.1
873116.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140340501002009124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+75Teleop
+73Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +55
10Coral scored#2
37Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
61Total teleop6
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points6
91Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.81.8
47.345.5
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 45.3
8731
#22
16.51.6
16.715.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Second
52.91.8
44.542.8
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 37.1
6864
#24
15.81.6
18.216.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
2013
#32
11.63.0
25.923.0
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 0.5
9589
#29
12.11.6
6.65.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed