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Red72
406941.2
131040.3
133419.8
Blue24
1046411.9
21622.1
747640.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95680501502002507224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+38Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
9Coral scored#2
31Coral points7
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
45Total teleop11
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
72Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.8
30.229.4
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
red by 0.5
7476
#11
40.72.8
28.025.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Second
40.30.8
27.626.8
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
red by 18.2
216
#21
22.12.8
23.320.5
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Third
1334
#27
19.81.3
23.422.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 7.8
11.92.8
12.09.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed