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Red120
685921.2
686531.6
540982.6
Blue54
77115.6
270828.9
959219.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11444010015020012054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+46Teleop
+60Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points12
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#7
50Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
78Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#4
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points0
120Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.60.4
60.761.1
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
red by 53.7
2708
#17
28.90.5
23.523.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
Second
6865
#14
31.60.7
18.118.8
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
red by 12.1
9592
#25
19.50.5
15.114.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
Third
21.20.4
17.317.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
red by 5.6
771
#30
15.60.5
7.97.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed