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Red71
686415.8
775718.2
293552.9
Blue97
270627.5
354326.8
86549.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8789506070801001101201307197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points44
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
56Total teleop72
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
71Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.7
42.842.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 3.1
865
#7
49.81.1
33.434.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
Second
7757
#31
18.20.7
22.021.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
blue by 9.3
2706
#28
27.51.1
29.330.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Third
6864
#24
15.80.7
16.615.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 11.0
3543
#18
26.81.1
17.118.2
Auto1.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned