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Red48
77115.6
270627.5
21622.1
Blue62
958912.1
912729.3
270828.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757740506070901001104862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
35Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
48Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#28
27.51.2
31.830.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
blue by 1.8
9127
#12
29.30.2
31.431.2
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
Second
216
#21
22.11.2
25.223.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End1.5
blue by 6.8
2708
#17
28.90.2
24.123.9
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
Third
771
#30
15.61.2
9.88.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
red by 3.5
9589
#29
12.10.2
9.49.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed