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Red91
747640.7
375622.6
133419.8
Blue178
686415.8
540982.6
24438.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751365010015020091178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+85
Endgame+87
Fouls+87
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +64
16Coral scored#32
56Coral points114
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
80Total teleop144
Reef
9L4#10
4L3#10
3L2#13
2L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#44
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +87
0Foul points0
91Total score178

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7476
#11
40.70.1
35.635.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
blue by 41.9
82.63.1
70.173.2
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
Second
3756
#26
22.60.1
18.218.1
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
blue by 15.9
244
#15
38.43.1
35.939.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
Third
1334
#27
19.80.1
18.118.0
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 4.0
6864
#24
15.83.1
11.014.0
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsMissed