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Red130
415261.8
131040.3
698719.2
Blue111
86549.8
959219.5
808128.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1138850100150200130111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points30
26Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#9
60Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
88Total teleop62
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points2
130Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.81.6
52.053.6
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 12.0
865
#7
49.81.6
36.938.5
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
Second
40.31.6
31.032.6
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
red by 12.4
8081
#16
28.02.7
24.727.4
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End3.4
Third
6987
#19
19.21.6
14.115.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
blue by 0.3
9592
#25
19.51.6
20.422.0
Auto5.8
Teleop11.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned