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Red157
293552.9
270828.9
494676.5
Blue113
61059.0
270627.5
775718.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15711250100200157113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+22Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#7
30Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +29
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
12Processor points12
16Net points4
28Algae points16
101Total teleop72
Reef
13L4#11
5L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
157Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.51.0
71.772.7
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 17.5
610
#1
59.00.3
56.456.7
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
Second
52.91.0
46.047.1
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
red by 25.4
2706
#28
27.50.3
30.530.8
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
Third
2708
#17
28.91.0
23.925.0
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
red by 10.7
7757
#31
18.20.3
21.421.7
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
53%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed