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Red47
873116.5
130526.8
354326.8
Blue50
685921.2
28836.8
21622.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74892040601001201401604750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
5Coral scored#6
19Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
27Total teleop33
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
47Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3543
#18
26.81.5
22.320.8
Auto1.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
blue by 10.0
288
#13
36.82.0
34.332.3
Auto6.4
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Second
1305
#10
26.81.5
27.726.3
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
red by 4.7
216
#21
22.12.0
23.921.9
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Third
8731
#22
16.51.5
19.117.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 4.7
21.22.0
21.619.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed