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Qual 402025 ONT District North Bay Event
Red160
86549.8
406941.2
747640.7
Blue94
686531.6
201311.6
912729.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131775010015020016094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +36
21Coral scored#16
75Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
107Total teleop71
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
160Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
49.82.6
38.5→41.1
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
red by 18.3
6865
#14
31.61.1
23.9→25.0
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Second
4069
#6
41.22.6
35.5→38.1
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End2.2
red by 12.0
9127
#12
29.30.7
31.2→31.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
Third
7476
#11
40.72.6
35.5→38.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
red by 29.1
2013
#32
11.61.1
17.1→18.2
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed