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Red76
270828.9
686415.8
130526.8
Blue108
698719.2
747640.7
293552.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721285010015020076108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
56Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
76Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2708
#17
28.90.5
25.025.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
blue by 24.0
52.90.0
48.949.0
Auto12.4
Teleop34.8
End5.7
Second
1305
#10
26.80.5
26.326.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
blue by 13.9
7476
#11
40.70.0
38.138.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Third
6864
#24
15.80.5
15.115.6
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 3.4
6987
#19
19.20.0
17.617.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed