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Qual 462025 ONT District North Bay Event
Red116
686531.6
131040.3
1046411.9
Blue153
375622.6
415261.8
354326.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801164060100140160180116153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +45
18Coral scored#28
66Coral points101
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
86Total teleop131
Reef
7L4#10
7L3#9
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#6
25Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
116Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#9
40.31.8
34.3→36.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.3
End8.0
blue by 21.5
4152
#3
61.82.5
54.7→57.2
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
Second
6865
#14
31.62.6
25.0→27.6
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
red by 4.8
3543
#18
26.82.5
20.8→23.3
Auto1.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Third
10464
#20
11.91.8
10.8→12.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 10.6
3756
#26
22.63.6
20.7→24.2
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned