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Red19
873116.5
201311.6
270627.5
Blue117
872927.0
61059.0
77115.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7310920406010012014016018019117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+64
Endgame+76
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +40
3Coral scored#7
9Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
9Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
2Foul points24
19Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#28
27.53.5
30.827.3
Auto6.2
Teleop20.7
End0.6
blue by 31.5
610
#1
59.00.2
57.156.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
Second
8731
#22
16.53.5
17.614.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 10.5
8729
#23
27.00.2
26.426.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.7
End1.1
Third
2013
#32
11.65.0
18.213.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.3
End2.2
blue by 4.0
771
#30
15.60.2
10.29.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned