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Red110
21622.1
130526.8
415261.8
Blue74
354326.8
685921.2
270828.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121675010015020011074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#10
47Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
69Total teleop54
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
110Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.80.3
57.257.4
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
red by 32.9
2708
#17
28.90.4
25.425.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
Second
1305
#10
26.80.3
26.727.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
Level
3543
#18
26.80.4
23.323.7
Auto1.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Third
216
#21
22.10.3
22.122.3
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End1.5
red by 0.9
21.20.4
19.820.2
Auto2.6
Teleop12.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned