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Red98
1046411.9
61059.0
375622.6
Blue97
686415.8
747640.7
77115.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121750501001502009897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+3
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
59Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
12Foul points8
98Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#1
59.02.1
56.954.8
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
red by 18.2
7476
#11
40.70.0
38.238.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End2.6
Second
3756
#26
22.62.8
24.221.4
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
red by 6.8
6864
#24
15.80.0
15.615.7
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
11.92.1
12.510.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End2.1
blue by 3.7
771
#30
15.60.0
9.910.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned