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Red153
130526.8
61059.0
494676.5
Blue149
686531.6
24438.4
415261.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168130100150200153149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points65
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#4
12Processor points24
20Net points16
32Algae points40
109Total teleop105
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#8
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
153Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.50.9
73.272.3
Auto20.7
Teleop47.2
End8.6
red by 14.7
61.81.1
57.458.6
Auto16.2
Teleop38.6
End7.1
Second
610
#1
59.00.9
54.853.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.7
End5.7
red by 20.5
244
#15
38.41.1
36.137.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.5
End5.1
Third
1305
#10
26.80.9
27.026.1
Auto6.9
Teleop18.1
End1.8
blue by 4.8
6865
#14
31.61.5
27.629.0
Auto4.2
Teleop24.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned