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Red139
270828.9
86549.8
698719.2
Blue154
77115.6
354326.8
540982.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612850100150200139154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+35
Endgame+25
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
17Coral scored#22
62Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
76Total teleop118
Reef
6L4#11
8L3#5
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#35
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
10Foul points0
139Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#7
49.82.6
43.145.7
Auto14.1
Teleop27.6
End8.2
blue by 32.8
82.62.4
79.782.1
Auto22.6
Teleop55.7
End4.4
Second
2708
#17
28.92.6
25.828.4
Auto7.6
Teleop18.5
End2.8
red by 2.1
3543
#18
26.82.4
23.726.0
Auto1.5
Teleop22.3
End3.0
Third
6987
#19
19.22.6
15.017.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 3.6
771
#30
15.62.4
10.012.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed