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Red71
808128.0
775718.2
912729.3
Blue72
21622.1
375622.6
686415.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99700204060801201401607172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
51Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points12
71Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9127
#12
29.31.4
32.230.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.8
End1.2
red by 6.7
3756
#26
22.60.9
21.420.5
Auto2.1
Teleop17.5
End3.0
Second
8081
#16
28.01.7
29.928.2
Auto7.5
Teleop17.1
End3.4
red by 5.8
216
#21
22.10.8
22.321.6
Auto5.0
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Third
7757
#31
18.21.4
19.818.3
Auto3.9
Teleop13.5
End0.9
red by 2.4
6864
#24
15.80.8
15.714.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed